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2024-12-14 10:32:49

In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's plunge is mainly due to the fact that market funds began to vote with their feet after the expected landing of heavy meetings. After all, this market can be speculated for a while by expectations, but the continuous promotion still depends on the face of funds. The most important thing is that hot money and quantitative crazy speculation have diverted a lot of money, and the market needs to seek a new balance through adjustment.This is what I said on Wednesday, not today. If you are interested, you can turn to the previous article. I am not a person who has gone up without thinking and boasted too much, but has gone down without thinking and being bearish. My analysis is based on technology, but unfortunately many people don't recognize it. But at least in my place, the timing effect of technical analysis is very good, which is enough.In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's plunge is mainly due to the fact that market funds began to vote with their feet after the expected landing of heavy meetings. After all, this market can be speculated for a while by expectations, but the continuous promotion still depends on the face of funds. The most important thing is that hot money and quantitative crazy speculation have diverted a lot of money, and the market needs to seek a new balance through adjustment.


In terms of sectors, except for cultural media, games, tourist hotels, textiles and clothing, the other sectors have generally declined. It can be said that today is a day for traditional consumption and new consumption in gallants, but other sectors have become a foil! The drop list is very unexpected. Insurance has started bungee jumping in the past two days. Traditional industries and technology growth stocks have no difference, and the style is magical.Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.A-shares: the gold content of small highs is improving. Will the stock market get worse next week?


So, as I emphasized above, the market can go up for 12 days on expectations, but if it is delayed, it is expected to be exhausted one day. There was a lot of noise about letting water out, but the faucet was tightened, and a lock was added without saying anything. Who can stand it! Today's plunge does not rule out the intention of forcing the above to continue to release water, and see if it will be introduced at the weekend.I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!

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